US Economic Intelligence
Loading the latest available official observations from FRED and U.S. Treasury…
Inflation Expectations
FRED · Treasury TIPS
5Y Breakeven Rate TIPS
-
Awaiting current observation
10Y Breakeven Rate TIPS
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Awaiting current observation
Core CPI YoY BLS
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Awaiting current observation
PPI Final Demand BLS
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Awaiting current observation
Yield Curve & Rates
U.S. Treasury · FRED
2Y Treasury Treasury
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Awaiting current observation
10Y Treasury Treasury
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Awaiting current observation
30Y Treasury Treasury
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Awaiting current observation
10Y-2Y Spread FRED
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Awaiting current observation
Credit Markets
ICE BofA · FRED
High Yield Spread (OAS) ICE BofA
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Awaiting current observation
Investment Grade Spread ICE BofA
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Awaiting current observation
Consumer Credit Outstanding Fed
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Awaiting current observation
30Y Mortgage Rate Freddie Mac
-
Awaiting current observation
Labor Market Detail
BLS · DOL
Initial Jobless Claims DOL
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Awaiting current observation
Continuing Claims DOL
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Awaiting current observation
Labor Force Participation BLS
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Awaiting current observation
Industrial Production Fed
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Awaiting current observation
Economic Indicators
FRED · BLS · BEA
CPI Inflation (YoY) BLS
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Awaiting current observation
Fed Funds Rate FRED
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Awaiting current observation
Unemployment Rate BLS
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Awaiting current observation
Core PCE BEA
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Awaiting current observation
GDP Growth (QoQ) BEA
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Awaiting current observation
10-Year Treasury Yield Treasury
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Awaiting current observation
Retail Sales (MoM) Census
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Awaiting current observation
Inflation Trend - 7 Months
CPI Year-over-Year % change (BLS)
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Market Data
U.S. Treasury · NFIB
U.S. Yield Curve Treasury.gov
3-month
-
2-year
-
5-year
-
10-year
-
30-year
-
Inverted - short rates above long rates. Historical recession signal.
NFIB Small Business Optimism NFIB
91.5
↑ +2.3 from last month · May 2026
62 low108 high
The Debt at a Glance
Total debt$39.07T
Per person$113,952
Debt-to-GDP122.6%
Data as ofQ1 2026
SourceTreasury / FRED